Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Guarani Campinas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 56% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.00
Double chanceGuarani Campinas or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.51
Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas preview and prediction
The match
Guarani Campinas travel to Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 25 February (19:30 WAT) to face Castanhal.
Form guide
Castanhal's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Paysandu 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Castanhal and 1.2 for Guarani Campinas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Guarani Campinas or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 56% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guarani Campinas or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Castanhal 0–1 Guarani Campinas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castanhal16%fair 6.30 · @3.60
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.00
Guarani Campinas28%fair 3.59 · @2.08
2.13Expected goals
0.95Castanhal xG
1.18Guarani Campinas xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Castanhal 0.9 – 1.2 Guarani Campinas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Guarani Campinas or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
13%
7.51
–
Form
Castanhal – last 3
LWL
22 Feb
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Capitao Poco
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Capitao Poco
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guarani Campinas – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castanhal and Guarani Campinas.
What is the prediction for Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas?
Our pick is Guarani Campinas or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas?
On our numbers Castanhal have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Guarani Campinas 28%.
How many goals will there be in Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas?
Our predicted score is Castanhal 0–1 Guarani Campinas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas?
Castanhal vs Guarani Campinas (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America-RN3
GAS0
Juazeirense1
Capital Brasilia1
Novorizontino4
Nacional AM0
Londrina1
Penedense0
Retrô1
Uberlandia2
São Luiz0
Maranhão1
Tombense1
Oratório1
Anápolis3
Cianorte1