Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 56% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.00
Double chanceSão Luiz or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
São Luiz vs Maranhão preview and prediction
The match
São Luiz host Maranhão in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 25 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for São Luiz and 0.9 for Maranhão. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Luiz 28%, draw 56%, Maranhão 16%.
Safer route: São Luiz or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 56% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was São Luiz or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: São Luiz 1–0 Maranhão. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Luiz28%fair 3.59 · @2.08
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.00
Maranhão16%fair 6.30 · @3.60
2.13Expected goals
1.18São Luiz xG
0.95Maranhão xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: São Luiz 1.2 – 0.9 Maranhão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.78
3.00 ▲
Double chance
São Luiz or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Luiz / FT São Luiz✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
São Luiz – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Caxias
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maranhão – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs IAPE
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Luiz and Maranhão.
Our pick is São Luiz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win São Luiz vs Maranhão?
On our numbers São Luiz have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Maranhão 16%.
How many goals will there be in São Luiz vs Maranhão?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Luiz vs Maranhão?
Our predicted score is São Luiz 1–0 Maranhão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is São Luiz vs Maranhão?
São Luiz vs Maranhão (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America-RN3
GAS0
Castanhal1
Guarani Campinas1
Juazeirense1
Capital Brasilia1
Novorizontino4
Nacional AM0
Londrina1
Penedense0
Retrô1
Uberlandia2
Tombense1
Oratório1
Anápolis3
Cianorte1