Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Novorizontino vs Nacional AM preview and prediction
The match
Nacional AM travel to Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 25 February (22:00 WAT) to face Novorizontino.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Novorizontino and 0.7 for Nacional AM. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novorizontino 66%, draw 21%, Nacional AM 13%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Novorizontino 1–0 Nacional AM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino66%fair 1.51 · @1.23
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.80
Nacional AM13%fair 7.68 · @14.00
2.60Expected goals
1.90Novorizontino xG
0.70Nacional AM xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.9 – 0.7 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
66%
1.51
1.23
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Novorizontino ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Novorizontino – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Santos
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nacional AM – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Manaus FC
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Nacional AM.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional AM 13%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
Novorizontino vs Nacional AM (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.