Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaxias to win ✗60% · @1.52
Double chanceCaxias or draw ✗83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé preview and prediction
The match
Caxias host Guarany de Bagé in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 26 February, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Caxias and 0.7 for Guarany de Bagé. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caxias 60%, draw 23%, Guarany de Bagé 17%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Caxias 2–0 Guarany de Bagé. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caxias60%fair 1.66 · @1.52
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
Guarany de Bagé17%fair 5.95 · @6.75
2.31Expected goals
1.56Caxias xG
0.75Guarany de Bagé xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.6 – 0.7 Guarany de Bagé expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✗
60%
1.66
1.52
Double chance
Caxias or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Form
Caxias – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ São Luiz
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guarany de Bagé – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Inter Santa Maria
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Inter Santa Maria
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Guarany de Bagé.
What is the prediction for Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?
On our numbers Caxias have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guarany de Bagé 17%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?
Our predicted score is Caxias 2–0 Guarany de Bagé, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?
Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águia de Marabá2
Independência0
ASA1
Operario Ferroviario2
São Bernardo2
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Mixto1
Botafogo PB1