Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 52% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✓72% · @1.19
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.88
São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas preview and prediction
The match
São Bernardo host Atlético Alagoinhas in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 26 February, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for São Bernardo and 0.7 for Atlético Alagoinhas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Bernardo 72%, draw 17%, Atlético Alagoinhas 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.45.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.45 – 52% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: São Bernardo 2–0 Atlético Alagoinhas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Bernardo72%fair 1.40 · @1.19
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.50
Atlético Alagoinhas11%fair 8.81 · @14.50
2.93Expected goals
2.18São Bernardo xG
0.75Atlético Alagoinhas xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 2.2 – 0.7 Atlético Alagoinhas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✓
72%
1.40
1.19
Double chance
São Bernardo or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.45 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
São Bernardo ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.88
–
Form
São Bernardo – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlético Alagoinhas – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Bahia
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs Porto BA
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Atlético Alagoinhas.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Alagoinhas 11%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 2–0 Atlético Alagoinhas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águia de Marabá2
Independência0
ASA1
Operario Ferroviario2
Caxias0
Guarany de Bagé1
Mixto1
Botafogo PB1