Value bet: Draw @ 2.84 – our chance 47% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓47% · @2.84
Double chanceMixto or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓14% · fair 7.41
Mixto vs Botafogo PB preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo PB travel to Estádio Eurico Gaspar Dutra in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 26 February (01:00 WAT) to face Mixto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Mixto and 1.1 for Botafogo PB. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Draw at 2.84 – 47% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mixto or draw – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mixto 1–1 Botafogo PB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixto30%fair 3.36 · @2.08
Draw47%fair 2.14 · @2.84
Botafogo PB24%fair 4.23 · @3.85
2.05Expected goals
0.99Mixto xG
1.07Botafogo PB xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mixto 1.0 – 1.1 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
47%
2.14
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Mixto or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
14%
7.41
–
Form
Mixto – last 2
DL
23 Feb
@ Ec Vitoria W
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Flamengo W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Botafogo PB – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Serra Branca
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Treze
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixto and Botafogo PB.
Our pick is Mixto or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Mixto have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 47% and Botafogo PB 24%.
How many goals will there be in Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Mixto 1–1 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
Mixto vs Botafogo PB (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Eurico Gaspar Dutra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.