Value bet: São João Ver to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão João Ver to win64% · @1.67
Double chanceSão João Ver or draw84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.90
São João Ver vs Sanjoanense preview and prediction
The match
Sanjoanense travel to face São João Ver in the Liga 3 on Sunday 3 May (16:30 WAT).
Form guide
São João Ver's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Fafe 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sanjoanense's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat SC Braga B 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded.
São João Ver arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for São João Ver and 0.7 for Sanjoanense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: São João Ver 64%, draw 20%, Sanjoanense 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: São João Ver to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: São João Ver 1–0 Sanjoanense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São João Ver64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.55
Sanjoanense16%fair 6.42 · @4.60
2.52Expected goals
1.80São João Ver xG
0.72Sanjoanense xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: São João Ver 1.8 – 0.7 Sanjoanense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São João Ver to win
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Double chance
São João Ver or draw
84%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
São João Ver ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São João Ver / FT São João Ver
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.90
–
Form
São João Ver – last 5
WWDLW
28 Apr
@ Fafe
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Paredes
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs SC Braga B
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Fafe
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sanjoanense – last 5
WDDLL
19 Apr
@ SC Braga B
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs SC Braga B
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs AD Marco 09
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Fafe
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Paredes
1–3
L
1.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São João Ver and Sanjoanense.
What is the prediction for São João Ver vs Sanjoanense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win São João Ver vs Sanjoanense?
On our numbers São João Ver have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sanjoanense 16%.
How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs Sanjoanense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs Sanjoanense?
Our predicted score is São João Ver 1–0 Sanjoanense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São João Ver vs Sanjoanense?
São João Ver vs Sanjoanense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Braga B
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