Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Fafe to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFafe to win62% · @1.80
Double chanceFafe or draw83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.26
Sanjoanense vs Fafe preview and prediction
The match
Sanjoanense host Fafe in the Liga 3 on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sanjoanense's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with SC Braga B 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Fafe's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Paredes 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Fafe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Fafe 3–2 Sanjoanense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Sanjoanense and 1.8 for Fafe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sanjoanense 17%, draw 22%, Fafe 62%.
Safer route: Fafe or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Fafe to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fafe or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sanjoanense 0–1 Fafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanjoanense17%fair 6.05 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Fafe62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
2.56Expected goals
0.78Sanjoanense xG
1.78Fafe xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sanjoanense 0.8 – 1.8 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fafe or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Fafe?
On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fafe 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Fafe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanjoanense vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is Sanjoanense 0–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sanjoanense vs Fafe?
Sanjoanense vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1º Dezembro