Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.75
União Santarém vs Trofense preview and prediction
The match
União Santarém host Trofense in the Liga 3 on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo Cha das Padeiras. União Santarém are 4th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Trofense sit 10th on 5 points (in the top half).
Form guide
União Santarém's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Mafra 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Trofense's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to CF Os Belenenses 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for União Santarém and 1.0 for Trofense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: União Santarém 1–1 Trofense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Santarém40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Trofense36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
2.15Expected goals
1.11União Santarém xG
1.04Trofense xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: União Santarém 1.1 – 1.0 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União Santarém to win
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União Santarém / FT União Santarém
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.75
–
Form
União Santarém – last 3
LWL
3 Apr
@ Mafra
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs Mafra
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Guimaraes B
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 4
LWLD
3 Apr
vs CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Amarante
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Mafra
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Trofense.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Trofense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win União Santarém vs Trofense?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trofense 36%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–1 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs Trofense?
União Santarém vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1º Dezembro
Sanjoanense