CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
CF Os Belenenses or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: CF Os Belenenses to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win61% · @1.85
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.30
CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees CF Os Belenenses take on Guimaraes B on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). CF Os Belenenses are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Guimaraes B sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
CF Os Belenenses's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Trofense 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Guimaraes B's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Academica 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Guimaraes B 2–2 CF Os Belenenses.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for CF Os Belenenses and 0.7 for Guimaraes B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CF Os Belenenses 61%, draw 25%, Guimaraes B 13%.
Safer route: CF Os Belenenses or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: CF Os Belenenses to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CF Os Belenenses or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Guimaraes B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Os Belenenses61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.20
Guimaraes B13%fair 7.47 · @3.75
2.37Expected goals
1.70CF Os Belenenses xG
0.67Guimaraes B xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.7 – 0.7 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?
Our pick is CF Os Belenenses or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guimaraes B 13%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?
CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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