Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Varzim vs Mafra preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Varzim take on Mafra on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Varzim are 6th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Mafra sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mafra's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat União Santarém 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Mafra 1–0 Varzim.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Varzim and 1.1 for Mafra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varzim 46%, draw 22%, Mafra 32%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Varzim 1–1 Mafra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varzim46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Mafra32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.36Varzim xG
1.08Mafra xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Varzim 1.4 – 1.1 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Varzim vs Mafra?
On our numbers Varzim have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mafra 32%.
How many goals will there be in Varzim vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varzim vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Varzim 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Varzim vs Mafra?
Varzim vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1º Dezembro
Sanjoanense