Value bet: Iceland to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIceland to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.27
Haiti vs Iceland preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Haiti take on Iceland on Tuesday 31 March, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at BMO Field.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Haiti and 1.8 for Iceland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haiti 22%, draw 19%, Iceland 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Iceland to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Haiti 1–1 Iceland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haiti22%fair 4.58 · @3.65
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.45
Iceland59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
2.84Expected goals
1.00Haiti xG
1.84Iceland xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.0 – 1.8 Iceland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iceland to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Iceland ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iceland / FT Iceland✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.27
–
Form
Haiti – last 1
L
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Iceland – last 1
L
26 Feb
@ Mexico
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and Iceland.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Haiti vs Iceland?
On our numbers Haiti have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Iceland 59%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs Iceland?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Iceland?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–1 Iceland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs Iceland?
Haiti vs Iceland (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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