Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
Universitario vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Universitario take on Atletico Grau on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental. Universitario are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Universitario's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Sport Boys 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atletico Grau's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Sporting Cristal 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Universitario and 0.6 for Atletico Grau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Universitario 1–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universitario69%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.80
Atletico Grau11%fair 8.76 · @13.00
2.43Expected goals
1.86Universitario xG
0.57Atletico Grau xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Universitario 1.9 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
69%
1.44
1.28
Double chance
Universitario or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Form
Universitario – last 6
DLWLWL
12 May
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
8 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Club Nacional
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WLDWLL
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Universitario have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Grau 11%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Universitario 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Universitario vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
