Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.35
8/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.38
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Juan Pablo II College take on Alianza Atletico on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de la Juventud. Juan Pablo II College are 9th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juan Pablo II College's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Sport Boys 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Garcilaso 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Juan Pablo II College arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Juan Pablo II College and 1.5 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juan Pablo II College 34%, draw 24%, Alianza Atletico 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Alianza Atletico to win at 2.70 – 42% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juan Pablo II College34%fair 2.93 · @2.54
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Alianza Atletico42%fair 2.38 · @2.70
2.74Expected goals
1.28Juan Pablo II College xG
1.46Alianza Atletico xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 1.3 – 1.5 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
42%
2.38
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.38
–
Form
Juan Pablo II College – last 5
DLLWW
26 Apr
@ Sport Boys
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ UCV Moquegua
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LLLWLL
11 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–2
L
7 May
vs America de Cali
0–2
L
1 May
vs Macara
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Universitario
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Atletico.
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza Atletico 42%.
How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de la Juventud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
