FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBC Melgar to win66% · @1.50
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.31
FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo preview and prediction
The match
Sport Huancayo travel to Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi in the Primera División on Saturday 16 May (19:00 WAT) to face FBC Melgar. FBC Melgar are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sport Huancayo sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table).
Form guide
FBC Melgar's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat UTC Cajamarca 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Sport Huancayo's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FBC Melgar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for FBC Melgar and 0.8 for Sport Huancayo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FBC Melgar 66%, draw 22%, Sport Huancayo 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FBC Melgar 2–0 Sport Huancayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBC Melgar66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.10
Sport Huancayo12%fair 8.39 · @6.20
2.86Expected goals
2.07FBC Melgar xG
0.79Sport Huancayo xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 2.1 – 0.8 Sport Huancayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win
66%
1.52
1.50
Double chance
FBC Melgar or draw
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.48
Half-time result
FBC Melgar ahead at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.31
–
Form
FBC Melgar – last 6
WLWWDD
4 May
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
28 Apr
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Universitario
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Sport Boys
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sport Huancayo – last 6
WDDLLW
18 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs FC Cajamarca
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and Sport Huancayo.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sport Huancayo 12%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 2–0 Sport Huancayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
