Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win72% · @1.38
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–013% · fair 7.81
Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Cristal host UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Sporting Cristal are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UTC Cajamarca's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Sport Huancayo 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Sporting Cristal and 0.7 for UTC Cajamarca. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Cristal 72%, draw 17%, UTC Cajamarca 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal72%fair 1.40 · @1.38
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.40
UTC Cajamarca11%fair 9.02 · @8.30
2.96Expected goals
2.23Sporting Cristal xG
0.74UTC Cajamarca xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.2 – 0.7 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win
72%
1.40
1.38
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
13%
7.81
–
Form
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LWLWWD
16 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 4
DLDW
15 Apr
vs Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Universitario
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and UTC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and UTC Cajamarca 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
