Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Alianza Lima vs Cusco preview and prediction
The match
Cusco travel to Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in the Primera División on Sunday 19 April (02:00 WAT) to face Alianza Lima. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Cusco sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat ADT 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cusco's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Alianza Lima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Alianza Lima and 0.6 for Cusco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 67%, draw 21%, Cusco 12%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 1–0 Cusco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.35
Cusco12%fair 8.01 · @9.30
2.38Expected goals
1.79Alianza Lima xG
0.59Cusco xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.8 – 0.6 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.33
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.04
–
Form
Alianza Lima – last 6
WLWDWW
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Universitario
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Sport Boys
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cusco – last 6
LLLWWL
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Cienciano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Cusco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cusco 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
Alianza Lima vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
