Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win66% · @1.80
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.63
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys preview and prediction
The match
Sport Boys travel to Estadio Campeones del 36 in the Primera División on Sunday 19 April (21:00 WAT) to face Alianza Atletico. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sport Boys sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to America de Cali 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sport Boys's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to FBC Melgar 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alianza Atletico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Alianza Atletico and 0.6 for Sport Boys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Atletico 66%, draw 21%, Sport Boys 13%.
Safer route: Alianza Atletico or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Alianza Atletico to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico66%fair 1.51 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.35
Sport Boys13%fair 7.89 · @4.60
2.26Expected goals
1.70Alianza Atletico xG
0.56Sport Boys xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.7 – 0.6 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
66%
1.51
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.63
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LDWDDD
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Tigre
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs ADT
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alianza Lima
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
LWLLDL
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sport Boys 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
