Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitario to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓15% · fair 6.83
Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
Universitario host UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental. Universitario are 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Universitario and 0.6 for UTC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universitario 70%, draw 21%, UTC Cajamarca 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitario to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Universitario 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universitario70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @5.00
UTC Cajamarca9%fair 11.43 · @11.00
2.67Expected goals
2.06Universitario xG
0.61UTC Cajamarca xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.1 – 0.6 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Universitario or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
15%
6.83
–
Form
Universitario – last 2
WW
2 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and UTC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Universitario to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Universitario have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UTC Cajamarca 9%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
