Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Atletico to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win61% · @1.67
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.76
Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Atletico take on UCV Moquegua on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCV Moquegua's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Sport Boys 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Alianza Atletico and 0.5 for UCV Moquegua. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Alianza Atletico or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.50
UCV Moquegua19%fair 5.26 · @4.80
1.83Expected goals
1.31Alianza Atletico xG
0.52UCV Moquegua xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.3 – 0.5 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
21%
4.76
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 4
WDDD
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs ADT
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alianza Lima
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UCV Moquegua 19%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua?
Alianza Atletico vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
