America de Cali vs Bucaramanga prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
America de Cali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 1.84 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓64% · @1.84
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.49
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga preview and prediction
The match
Bucaramanga travel to Olimpico Pascual Guerrero in the Primera A on Thursday 2 April (22:10 WAT) to face America de Cali. America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Bucaramanga sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
America de Cali's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bucaramanga's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Santa Fe 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished America de Cali 2–1 Bucaramanga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for America de Cali and 0.6 for Bucaramanga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 64%, draw 22%, Bucaramanga 14%.
Safer route: America de Cali or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: America de Cali to win at 1.84 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was America de Cali or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–0 Bucaramanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali64%fair 1.56 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Bucaramanga14%fair 7.14 · @4.55
2.18Expected goals
1.61America de Cali xG
0.57Bucaramanga xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.6 – 0.6 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bucaramanga 14%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
