Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chico to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChico to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceChico or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.41
Chico vs Deportivo Pereira preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Chico take on Deportivo Pereira on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Independencia. Chico are 15th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Pereira sit 17th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chico's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Deportes Tolima 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Pereira's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cali 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Chico and 0.7 for Deportivo Pereira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Chico to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chico or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chico63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.20
Deportivo Pereira17%fair 5.90 · @4.30
2.37Expected goals
1.68Chico xG
0.70Deportivo Pereira xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chico 1.7 – 0.7 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chico to win✓
63%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Chico or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chico / FT Chico✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.41
–
Form
Chico – last 6
DLWLLL
23 Mar
vs Deportes Tolima
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Millonarios
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Once Caldas
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
LDDLLD
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ Millonarios
1–5
L
21 Feb
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Chico or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Chico have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Pereira 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
Chico vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
