Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Nacional host Cucuta in the Primera A on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Cucuta sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Pasto 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cucuta's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Pereira 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Atletico Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Atletico Nacional and 0.8 for Cucuta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Nacional 70%, draw 20%, Cucuta 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Cucuta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Nacional70%fair 1.42 · @1.31
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @5.25
Cucuta10%fair 10.25 · @8.50
3.20Expected goals
2.37Atletico Nacional xG
0.82Cucuta xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.4 – 0.8 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✗
70%
1.42
1.31
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WWLWWL
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Junior
4–0
W
5 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 5
DDLWD
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Llaneros
2–2
D
10 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Cucuta.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cucuta 10%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
