Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 1.61 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✗66% · @1.61
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✗89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Santa Fe vs Llaneros preview and prediction
The match
Llaneros travel to Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin in the Primera A on Thursday 2 April (00:30 WAT) to face Santa Fe. Santa Fe are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Llaneros sit 12th on 23 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Santa Fe's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Bucaramanga 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Llaneros's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Once Caldas 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Santa Fe and 0.6 for Llaneros. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Fe 66%, draw 23%, Llaneros 11%.
Safer route: Santa Fe or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Santa Fe to win at 1.61 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Santa Fe 1–0 Llaneros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Fe66%fair 1.51 · @1.61
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.65
Llaneros11%fair 8.94 · @5.70
2.44Expected goals
1.82Santa Fe xG
0.61Llaneros xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.8 – 0.6 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✗
66%
1.51
1.61 ▲
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Santa Fe ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.26
–
Form
Santa Fe – last 6
WWDDLW
28 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Junior
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Llaneros – last 6
DDDLWD
30 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ America de Cali
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Jaguares
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Llaneros.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llaneros 11%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Llaneros?
Santa Fe vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
