Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Mito Hollyhock take on Kashima on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at K's Denki Stadium Mito. Mito Hollyhock are 9th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mito Hollyhock's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.9 for Kashima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock16%fair 6.08 · @3.95
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.45
Kashima64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
2.67Expected goals
0.80Mito Hollyhock xG
1.88Kashima xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 0.8 – 1.9 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
64%
1.56
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Mito Hollyhock – last 4
LWLD
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Mar
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Urawa
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kashima 64%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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