JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokyo Verdy to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.36
JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees JEF United Chiba take on Tokyo Verdy on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at Fukuda Denshi Arena. JEF United Chiba are 10th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
JEF United Chiba's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Kashima 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for JEF United Chiba and 1.2 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: JEF United Chiba 36%, draw 25%, Tokyo Verdy 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: JEF United Chiba 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JEF United Chiba36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Tokyo Verdy38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.46Expected goals
1.21JEF United Chiba xG
1.25Tokyo Verdy xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 1.2 – 1.2 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokyo Verdy to win✗
38%
2.61
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokyo Verdy / FT Tokyo Verdy✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.36
–
Form
JEF United Chiba – last 5
LLLWL
22 Mar
@ Kashima
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs FC Tokyo
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 5
LWLLW
18 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
14 Mar
vs Urawa
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kashima
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tokyo Verdy 38%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?
JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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