Value bet: JEF United Chiba to win @ 2.95 – our chance 46% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultJEF United Chiba to win ✗46% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba preview and prediction
The match
JEF United Chiba travel to K's Denki Stadium Mito in the J1 League on Sunday 22 February (06:00 WAT) to face Mito Hollyhock. Mito Hollyhock are 9th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while JEF United Chiba sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.5 for JEF United Chiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: JEF United Chiba to win at 2.95 – 46% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 JEF United Chiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock31%fair 3.20 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
JEF United Chiba46%fair 2.17 · @2.95
2.71Expected goals
1.19Mito Hollyhock xG
1.52JEF United Chiba xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.2 – 1.5 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JEF United Chiba to win✗
46%
2.17
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JEF United Chiba / FT JEF United Chiba✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Mito Hollyhock – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
JEF United Chiba
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and JEF United Chiba.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and JEF United Chiba 46%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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