Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Cerezo Osaka take on Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Cerezo Osaka and 1.8 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka19%fair 5.25 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima59%fair 1.69 · @1.90
2.70Expected goals
0.90Cerezo Osaka xG
1.80Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 0.9 – 1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
59%
1.69
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Cerezo Osaka – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 2
DD
17 Feb
@ FC Seoul
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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