Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Gamba Osaka travel to City Light Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 22 February (06:00 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.2 for Gamba Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Fagiano Okayama to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Gamba Osaka40%fair 2.53 · @2.35
2.23Expected goals
1.08Fagiano Okayama xG
1.15Gamba Osaka xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.1 – 1.2 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✓
40%
2.53
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 1
W
19 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gamba Osaka 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock1
JEF United Chiba1