Value bet: Senegal to win @ 2.60 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSenegal to win ✗48% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
USA vs Senegal preview and prediction
The match
USA host Senegal in the Friendlies on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Bank of America Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for USA and 1.8 for Senegal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: USA 30%, draw 22%, Senegal 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Senegal to win at 2.60 – 48% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: USA 1–1 Senegal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
USA30%fair 3.34 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Senegal48%fair 2.08 · @2.60
3.12Expected goals
1.35USA xG
1.77Senegal xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: USA 1.3 – 1.8 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Senegal to win✗
48%
2.08
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Senegal / FT Senegal✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Form
USA – last 1
L
1 Apr
vs Portugal
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Senegal – last 1
W
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Senegal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win USA vs Senegal?
On our numbers USA have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Senegal 48%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Senegal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Senegal?
Our predicted score is USA 1–1 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is USA vs Senegal?
USA vs Senegal (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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