Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 55% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEcuador to win ✓43% · @7.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32
Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Ecuador take on Saudi Arabia on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Ecuador and 1.2 for Saudi Arabia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ecuador 43%, draw 23%, Saudi Arabia 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 55% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ecuador 1–1 Saudi Arabia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ecuador43%fair 2.31 · @7.30
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Saudi Arabia34%fair 2.97 · @1.49
2.55Expected goals
1.38Ecuador xG
1.17Saudi Arabia xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ecuador 1.4 – 1.2 Saudi Arabia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ecuador to win✓
43%
2.31
7.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.32
–
Form
Ecuador – last 2
DD
31 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Saudi Arabia – last 2
LL
31 Mar
@ Serbia
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Egypt
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Saudi Arabia.
What is the prediction for Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
On our numbers Ecuador have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Saudi Arabia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
Our predicted score is Ecuador 1–1 Saudi Arabia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia?
Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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