Value bet: Tottenham to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea to win ✗40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.68
Chelsea vs Tottenham preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea host Tottenham in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 10:45 (WAT) at Accor Stadium.
Form guide
Chelsea's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Western Sydney Wanderers 6–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Tottenham's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Sydney 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tottenham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Chelsea and 1.8 for Tottenham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 70%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea 40%, draw 21%, Tottenham 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Tottenham to win at 2.74 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea40%fair 2.51 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
Tottenham39%fair 2.57 · @2.74
3.69Expected goals
1.86Chelsea xG
1.83Tottenham xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Chelsea 1.9 – 1.8 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tottenham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea vs Tottenham (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lazio6
Avellino3
Levante2
Albacete1
Alcorcon2
Getafe II0
Lucko1
Segesta Sisak1
Eibar5
Arenas Getxo0
Bayer Leverkusen3
Rot-Weiß Essen0
Moreirense2
Amarante0
De Graafschap1
Excelsior5