Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaracas FC to win ✗43% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Caracas FC take on Metropolitanos FC on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Caracas FC and 1.3 for Metropolitanos FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 43%, draw 25%, Metropolitanos FC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC43%fair 2.34 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Metropolitanos FC32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.28Caracas FC xG
1.28Metropolitanos FC xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.3 – 1.3 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caracas FC to win✗
43%
2.34
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caracas FC / FT Caracas FC✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Caracas FC – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Carabobo FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UCV
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metropolitanos FC – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Carabobo FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Metropolitanos FC.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metropolitanos FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cobresal1
A. Italiano1
Puerto Cabello0
Monagas SC0
Alianza Atletico2
Deportivo Garcilaso0
Blooming3
San Antonio Bulo Bulo0