Value bet: Monagas SC to win @ 3.55 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Puerto Cabello take on Monagas SC on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Misael Delgado.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Puerto Cabello and 1.1 for Monagas SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Cabello 45%, draw 25%, Monagas SC 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Monagas SC to win at 3.55 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 1–1 Monagas SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Cabello45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Monagas SC30%fair 3.30 · @3.55
2.48Expected goals
1.41Puerto Cabello xG
1.07Monagas SC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.4 – 1.1 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Puerto Cabello – last 2
LW
28 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Zamora FC
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monagas SC – last 2
LL
27 Feb
@ Portuguesa FC
0–4
L
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Monagas SC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monagas SC 30%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC?
Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Misael Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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