Value bet: UAI Urquiza to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiniers to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Liniers vs UAI Urquiza preview and prediction
The match
Liniers host UAI Urquiza in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium. Liniers are 16th with 48 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while UAI Urquiza sit 21st on 45 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liniers's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Villa Dalmine 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
UAI Urquiza's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Real Pilar 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 June 2026, finished UAI Urquiza 2–1 Liniers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Liniers and 0.7 for UAI Urquiza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Value angle: UAI Urquiza to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Liniers 0–0 UAI Urquiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liniers42%fair 2.40 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.60
UAI Urquiza33%fair 3.06 · @3.30
1.65Expected goals
0.90Liniers xG
0.75UAI Urquiza xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Liniers 0.9 – 0.7 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Liniers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and UAI Urquiza 33%.
How many goals will there be in Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
Our predicted score is Liniers 0–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Liniers vs UAI Urquiza?
Liniers vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
