San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas preview and prediction
The match
Excursionistas travel to Francisco Boga Stadium in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 17 October (19:00 WAT) to face San Martín Burzaco. San Martín Burzaco are 12th with 51 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Excursionistas sit 1st on 81 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Arsenal Sarandi 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Excursionistas's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Villa San Carlos 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excursionistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Excursionistas 2–0 San Martín Burzaco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.4 for Excursionistas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martín Burzaco 25%, draw 24%, Excursionistas 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Excursionistas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Burzaco25%fair 3.96 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Excursionistas51%fair 1.95 · @2.00
2.27Expected goals
0.87San Martín Burzaco xG
1.40Excursionistas xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 0.9 – 1.4 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Excursionistas 51%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?
San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
