Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 17 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✗39% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi preview and prediction

The match

Arsenal Sarandi travel to Republica de Italia Stadium in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 17 October (19:00 WAT) to face Sportivo Italiano. Sportivo Italiano are 3rd with 72 points from 42 games (in the top four), while Arsenal Sarandi sit 2nd on 77 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Sportivo Italiano's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Argentino de Merlo 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Arsenal Sarandi's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat San Martín Burzaco 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Arsenal Sarandi 1–3 Sportivo Italiano.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Sportivo Italiano and 0.9 for Arsenal Sarandi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Sportivo Italiano 39%, draw 29%, Arsenal Sarandi 33%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Arsenal Sarandi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sportivo Italiano39%fair 2.59 · @2.62

Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.50

Arsenal Sarandi33%fair 3.06 · @3.00

1.99Expected goals

1.05Sportivo Italiano xG

0.94Arsenal Sarandi xG

46%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%

0–014%

1–113%

0–113%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.1 – 0.9 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sportivo Italiano to win ✗	39%	2.59	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	71%	1.40	1.44
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	22%	4.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	14%	6.95	–

Form

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

WWWDLW

11 Oct	@ Argentino de Merlo	2–1	W
4 Oct	vs Talleres Remedios	2–0	W
26 Sep	@ Deportivo Laferrere	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs Brown DE Adrogue	0–0	D
12 Sep	@ Deportivo Armenio	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Flandria	3–1	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

WLWLWW

10 Oct	vs San Martín Burzaco	3–1	W
3 Oct	@ Villa San Carlos	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs Liniers	2–0	W
19 Sep	@ Real Pilar	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs UAI Urquiza	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Villa Dalmine	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Arsenal Sarandi 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Arsenal Sarandi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes