Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Municipal de Pilar-Carlos BarrazaReal Pilar vs Ituzaingó prediction & analysis
Real Pilar to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.8 – 0.4 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Pilar are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for Ituzaingó.
Real Pilar have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Ituzaingó have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded. Real Pilar come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.8 for Real Pilar, 0.4 for Ituzaingó). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (17%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Real Pilar have won 0, Ituzaingó have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Real Pilar to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Pilar to win ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Real Pilar or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Real Pilar ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.13 | – |
Form
Real Pilar – last 6
| 12 Oct | @ UAI Urquiza | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Villa Dalmine | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Arsenal Sarandi | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–2 | L |
Ituzaingó – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Argentino Quilmes | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Oct | @ UAI Urquiza | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Defensores Unidos | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Villa Dalmine | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Jun 2026 | Ituzaingó v Real Pilar | 2–0 |
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?
Our pick is Real Pilar to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ituzaingó 9%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?
Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.