Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.17
Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos preview and prediction
The match
Villa San Carlos travel to Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 26 September (19:00 WAT) to face Argentino de Merlo. Argentino de Merlo are 13th with 50 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Villa San Carlos sit 11th on 51 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Liniers 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Villa San Carlos's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Talleres Remedios 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa San Carlos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Argentino de Merlo and 1.0 for Villa San Carlos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentino de Merlo 36%, draw 27%, Villa San Carlos 37%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Villa San Carlos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino de Merlo36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Villa San Carlos37%fair 2.71 · @2.70
1.96Expected goals
0.97Argentino de Merlo xG
0.99Villa San Carlos xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 1.0 – 1.0 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa San Carlos to win✓
37%
2.71
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.17
–
Form
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
WLLDLD
20 Sep
@ Liniers
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Real Pilar
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ UAI Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Villa San Carlos – last 6
DDDLWW
20 Sep
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Flandria
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino de Merlo and Villa San Carlos.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa San Carlos 37%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos?
Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
