Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Excursionistas StadiumExcursionistas vs Real Pilar prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.3 – 0.9 Real Pilar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Excursionistas hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 29% for Real Pilar.
Excursionistas have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Real Pilar have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.3 for Excursionistas, 0.9 for Real Pilar). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is close to our fair price of 1.92.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Excursionistas to win ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas ✓ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.15 | – |
Form
Excursionistas – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ UAI Urquiza | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Villa Dalmine | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Ituzaingó | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Arsenal Sarandi | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Argentino de Merlo | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 2–1 | W |
Real Pilar – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Arsenal Sarandi | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Deportivo Armenio | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excursionistas and Real Pilar.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Real Pilar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Real Pilar?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Pilar 29%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Real Pilar?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Excursionistas vs Real Pilar?
Excursionistas vs Real Pilar (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.