UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Excursionistas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.59
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas preview and prediction
The match
UAI Urquiza host Excursionistas in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Monumental de Villa Lynch. UAI Urquiza are 21st with 45 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Excursionistas sit 1st on 81 points (top of the table). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UAI Urquiza's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Arsenal Sarandi 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Excursionistas's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Villa Dalmine 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Excursionistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Excursionistas 0–0 UAI Urquiza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for UAI Urquiza and 1.4 for Excursionistas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Safer route: Excursionistas or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Excursionistas to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UAI Urquiza 0–1 Excursionistas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UAI Urquiza14%fair 7.31 · @4.60
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88
Excursionistas62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
1.86Expected goals
0.46UAI Urquiza xG
1.40Excursionistas xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–016%
0–215%
1–110%
1–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.5 – 1.4 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Excursionistas 62%.
How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
