Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y PucciniVilla Dalmine vs Ituzaingó prediction & analysis
Villa Dalmine to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.6 – 0.3 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Villa Dalmine are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 9% for Ituzaingó.
Villa Dalmine have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Ituzaingó have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Villa Dalmine come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.6 for Villa Dalmine, 0.3 for Ituzaingó). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (23%), 2–0 (18%), 0–0 (15%).
Our pick is Villa Dalmine to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Villa Dalmine to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Villa Dalmine or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 23% | 4.26 | – |
Form
Villa Dalmine – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Arsenal Sarandi | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 1–0 | W |
Ituzaingó – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Dock Sud | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Arsenal Sarandi | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Deportivo Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Ituzaingó.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?
Our pick is Villa Dalmine to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ituzaingó 9%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?
Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.