Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Sportivo Italiano take on Brown DE Adrogue on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Republica de Italia Stadium. Sportivo Italiano are 3rd with 72 points from 42 games (in the top four), while Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th on 46 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sportivo Italiano's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Armenio 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Brown DE Adrogue's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to San Martín Burzaco 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Sportivo Italiano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Sportivo Italiano and 0.8 for Brown DE Adrogue. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Italiano 44%, draw 25%, Brown DE Adrogue 31%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Brown DE Adrogue. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Italiano44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.75
Brown DE Adrogue31%fair 3.24 · @3.30
1.80Expected goals
1.02Sportivo Italiano xG
0.78Brown DE Adrogue xG
49%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.0 – 0.8 Brown DE Adrogue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Italiano to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Form
Sportivo Italiano – last 6
LWWLLW
12 Sep
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Flandria
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Defensores Unidos
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dock Sud
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brown DE Adrogue – last 6
LDDLDL
12 Sep
vs San Martín Burzaco
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Villa San Carlos
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Liniers
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Real Pilar
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Villa Dalmine
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Italiano and Brown DE Adrogue.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brown DE Adrogue 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Brown DE Adrogue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
