Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Municipal de Pilar-Carlos BarrazaReal Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Arsenal Sarandi to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Pilar 0.9 – 1.1 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arsenal Sarandi shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 31% for Real Pilar.
Real Pilar have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Arsenal Sarandi have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Real Pilar, 1.1 for Arsenal Sarandi). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.91. For a bigger price, Arsenal Sarandi to win at 2.50 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal Sarandi to win ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.44 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.65 | – |
Form
Real Pilar – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Deportivo Armenio | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Flandria | 0–0 | D |
Arsenal Sarandi – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs UAI Urquiza | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Villa Dalmine | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Excursionistas | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Ituzaingó | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and Arsenal Sarandi.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal Sarandi 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.