Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Dock Sud to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDock Sud to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceDock Sud or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud preview and prediction
The match
Ituzaingó host Dock Sud in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan. Ituzaingó are 22nd with 17 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Dock Sud sit 18th on 47 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ituzaingó's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Arsenal Sarandi 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dock Sud's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Deportivo Merlo 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Dock Sud arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Ituzaingó and 1.5 for Dock Sud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ituzaingó 19%, draw 21%, Dock Sud 59%.
Safer route: Dock Sud or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Dock Sud to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ituzaingó 0–1 Dock Sud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ituzaingó19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.00
Dock Sud59%fair 1.68 · @1.90
2.21Expected goals
0.69Ituzaingó xG
1.51Dock Sud xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Ituzaingó 0.7 – 1.5 Dock Sud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dock Sud to win✓
59%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Dock Sud or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dock Sud / FT Dock Sud✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Ituzaingó – last 6
LDDLDD
25 Aug
@ Arsenal Sarandi
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Merlo
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dock Sud – last 6
WDLWDD
26 Aug
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Deportivo Camioneros
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sportivo Italiano
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs San Martín Burzaco
4–1
W
2 Aug
@ Villa San Carlos
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Liniers
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituzaingó and Dock Sud.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dock Sud 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Our predicted score is Ituzaingó 0–1 Dock Sud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
