Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Excursionistas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Arsenal Sarandi take on Excursionistas on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd with 77 points from 42 games (in the top four), while Excursionistas sit 1st on 81 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Arsenal Sarandi's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Ituzaingó 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excursionistas's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Argentino de Merlo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Excursionistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Excursionistas 0–1 Arsenal Sarandi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.0 for Excursionistas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Sarandi 41%, draw 25%, Excursionistas 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Excursionistas to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Arsenal Sarandi 1–1 Excursionistas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Sarandi41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Excursionistas34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.14Arsenal Sarandi xG
1.02Excursionistas xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.1 – 1.0 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Excursionistas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
