Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Liniers to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗36% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Brown DE Adrogue take on Liniers on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla. Brown DE Adrogue are 20th with 46 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Liniers sit 16th on 48 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Brown DE Adrogue's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Real Pilar 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Liniers's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Deportivo Armenio 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Brown DE Adrogue and 1.0 for Liniers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brown DE Adrogue 36%, draw 27%, Liniers 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Liniers to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Liniers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brown DE Adrogue36%fair 2.75 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Liniers36%fair 2.76 · @3.40
1.99Expected goals
0.99Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.99Liniers xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 1.0 – 1.0 Liniers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brown DE Adrogue to win✗
36%
2.75
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Brown DE Adrogue – last 6
LDLWDW
25 Aug
@ Real Pilar
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Villa Dalmine
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Excursionistas
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Argentino de Merlo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Liniers – last 6
WLLWDD
26 Aug
vs Deportivo Armenio
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Flandria
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Defensores Unidos
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Dock Sud
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brown DE Adrogue and Liniers.
What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Liniers 36%.
How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Liniers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
