Value bet: Defensores Unidos to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensores Unidos to win ✓39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.99
Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco preview and prediction
The match
San Martín Burzaco travel to Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 22 August (19:00 WAT) to face Defensores Unidos. Defensores Unidos are 19th with 46 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while San Martín Burzaco sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Defensores Unidos's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Villa San Carlos 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Comunicaciones 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Martín Burzaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Defensores Unidos and 0.9 for San Martín Burzaco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensores Unidos 39%, draw 27%, San Martín Burzaco 34%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Defensores Unidos to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Defensores Unidos 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensores Unidos39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
San Martín Burzaco34%fair 2.91 · @2.50
1.97Expected goals
1.03Defensores Unidos xG
0.94San Martín Burzaco xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensores Unidos 1.0 – 0.9 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores Unidos to win✓
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
Defensores Unidos – last 6
LLLDDL
16 Aug
@ Villa San Carlos
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Liniers
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Real Pilar
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Excursionistas
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
DLDLLW
15 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Dock Sud
1–4
L
2 Aug
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Sportivo Italiano
1–2
L
14 Jul
@ Ituzaingó
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores Unidos and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Defensores Unidos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martín Burzaco 34%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Defensores Unidos 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
