Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Villa San Carlos to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.23
Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos preview and prediction
The match
Argentino Quilmes host Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Barranca Quilmena stadium. Argentino Quilmes are 17th with 47 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Villa San Carlos sit 11th on 51 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Argentino Quilmes's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Liniers 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa San Carlos's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Defensores Unidos 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Argentino Quilmes and 1.0 for Villa San Carlos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentino Quilmes 41%, draw 24%, Villa San Carlos 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Villa San Carlos to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Argentino Quilmes 1–0 Villa San Carlos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Quilmes41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Villa San Carlos35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.12Expected goals
1.13Argentino Quilmes xG
1.00Villa San Carlos xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Argentino Quilmes 1.1 – 1.0 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win✗
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.23
–
Form
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
WDDDDW
16 Aug
@ Liniers
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Real Pilar
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Excursionistas
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villa San Carlos – last 6
WWDWLL
16 Aug
vs Defensores Unidos
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Sportivo Italiano
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Quilmes and Villa San Carlos.
What is the prediction for Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Argentino Quilmes have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villa San Carlos 35%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Argentino Quilmes 1–0 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
