Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Carlos SacaanItuzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ituzaingó 1.0 – 1.4 Deportivo Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportivo Merlo shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 29% for Ituzaingó.
Ituzaingó have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Deportivo Merlo have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for Ituzaingó, 1.4 for Deportivo Merlo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.10 is better than our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Merlo to win ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Merlo / FT Deportivo Merlo ✗ | 26% | 3.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.99 | – |
Form
Ituzaingó – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Deportivo Camioneros | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Sportivo Italiano | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | vs San Martín Burzaco | 1–2 | L |
Deportivo Merlo – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Deportivo Camioneros | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Sportivo Italiano | 0–4 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ San Martín Burzaco | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Villa San Carlos | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Liniers | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jul | vs Real Pilar | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituzaingó and Deportivo Merlo.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?
On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Merlo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?
Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.